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279
FXUS64 KFWD 292334
AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
534 PM CST Thu Jan 29 2026
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Lingering slick spots on roads may create hazardous travel for
portions of North Texas overnight into Friday morning.
- A Cold Weather Advisory is in effect from 12 AM to 11 AM
Saturday due to wind chills ranging from 0 to 15 degrees.
- Much colder temperatures and frigid wind chills are expected
Saturday into Sunday.
- A warm up will occur Sunday through early next week, with rain
chances returning to the region Tuesday into Wednesday.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 1250 PM CST Thu Jan 29 2026
A cold front is currently moving through our northwestern
counties and will continue its trek south-southeast through the
rest of this afternoon and evening. The areas in our northwest
where the front has already passed are only expected to peak in
the upper 40s to low-mid 50s, while elsewhere will reach the mid
50s to mid 60s. Breezy post-frontal winds are expected through the
afternoon, with gusts generally up to around 25 mph through early
this evening. Expect some development of post-frontal stratus
later today, though this is expected to mainly move overtop the
eastern half of the region. Otherwise, tonight will be slightly
colder due to the influx of cold air from the north. Overnight
lows will range from the lows 20s near the Red River to at or just
below freezing in our far southern counties. Lingering CAA over
much of the region will keep things cooler over Friday afternoon,
with highs only reaching the mid 40s to mid 50s. A backdoor cold
front is expected to move through the region later in the day in
response to a digging shortwave to our east and incoming surface
high to our north. This FROPA will be accompanied by a stronger
slug of cold air, bringing much more frigid conditions to North
and Central Texas as we head into the weekend.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Friday night through next Wednesday)
Issued at 1250 PM CST Thu Jan 29 2026
Cold conditions are expected Friday night through Sunday morning
across the region. For Saturday morning, low temperatures are
expected to bottom out in the mid teens to mid 20s. However, wind
gusts between 15-20 mph will exacerbate the cold, pushing wind
chills down to between 0 and 15 degrees. A Cold Weather Advisory
has been issued for Friday night-Saturday morning due to these
wind chills. If you have to be outdoors during this time, make
sure to properly bundle up and avoid excess time outside to avoid
getting hypothermia. Some areas near the Red River may briefly
observe wind chills a couple of degrees below zero near daybreak.
However, while this does meet Excessive Cold criteria, sub-zero
wind chills would only linger for an hour or two before rising
back above zero. Because of this, have not included any Excessive
Cold headlines at this time, but will continue to keep watch.
The rest of Saturday will remain cold with highs across much of
North Texas only peaking in the 29-32 degree range. Elsewhere,
temperatures will reach the mid-upper 30s. Saturday night into
Sunday will feature another night of very cold conditions, with
lows in the mid teens to low 20s and wind chills generally
between 10-20 degrees. Another Cold Weather Advisory may be
necessary for western portions of Central Texas during this time
for wind chills < 15 degrees, but this will be decided upon
overnight tonight or tomorrow.
A rapid warm up is expected Sunday into early next week as
southerly winds return and upper-level ridging begins to build
into the region. Highs on Monday will be quite nice, reaching all
the way into the 50s and 60s for the first time in a minute.
However, a series of shortwaves will break the ridge down and
allow for an unsettled weather pattern as we head into midweek.
Rain chances will increase Tuesday into Wednesday, but will come
to an end with the passage of another cold front.
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 531 PM CST Thu Jan 29 2026
North to northwest winds of 15-20 kt behind today's cold front
will drop to around 10kt overnight into Friday morning. Modest
north winds will continue during the day Friday, but will increase
to 20+ kt Friday night as a second, stronger cold front arrives.
The Friday night front will require an added line in the extended
DFW TAF. Some low clouds may develop this evening atop the
frontal layer, but should remain scattered in coverage. VFR will
otherwise persist through Friday evening.
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1049 AM CST Sun Jan 25 2026
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth 27 46 18 33 / 0 0 0 0
Waco 30 49 23 35 / 0 0 0 0
Paris 26 44 14 30 / 0 0 0 0
Denton 21 45 13 32 / 0 0 0 0
McKinney 25 44 15 31 / 0 0 0 0
Dallas 28 47 18 33 / 0 0 0 0
Terrell 27 46 16 33 / 0 0 0 0
Corsicana 30 49 21 35 / 0 0 0 0
Temple 30 52 22 38 / 0 0 0 0
Mineral Wells 23 50 17 35 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Cold Weather Advisory from midnight Friday night to 11 AM CST
Saturday for TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-
174-175.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Prater
LONG TERM....Prater
AVIATION...30/MB
File: /home/ldm/var/data/BY_SOURCE/KFWD/FXUS64/20260129T2334.txt
184
FXUS64 KFWD 291850
AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1250 PM CST Thu Jan 29 2026
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Lingering slick spots on roads may create hazardous travel for
portions of North Texas overnight into Friday morning.
- A Cold Weather Advisory is in effect from 12 AM to 11 AM
Saturday due to wind chills ranging from 0 to 15 degrees.
- Much colder temperatures and frigid wind chills are expected
Saturday into Sunday.
- A warm up will occur Sunday through early next week, with rain
chances returning to the region Tuesday into Wednesday.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 1250 PM CST Thu Jan 29 2026
A cold front is currently moving through our northwestern
counties and will continue its trek south-southeast through the
rest of this afternoon and evening. The areas in our northwest
where the front has already passed are only expected to peak in
the upper 40s to low-mid 50s, while elsewhere will reach the mid
50s to mid 60s. Breezy post-frontal winds are expected through the
afternoon, with gusts generally up to around 25 mph through early
this evening. Expect some development of post-frontal stratus
later today, though this is expected to mainly move overtop the
eastern half of the region. Otherwise, tonight will be slightly
colder due to the influx of cold air from the north. Overnight
lows will range from the lows 20s near the Red River to at or just
below freezing in our far southern counties. Lingering CAA over
much of the region will keep things cooler over Friday afternoon,
with highs only reaching the mid 40s to mid 50s. A backdoor cold
front is expected to move through the region later in the day in
response to a digging shortwave to our east and incoming surface
high to our north. This FROPA will be accompanied by a stronger
slug of cold air, bringing much more frigid conditions to North
and Central Texas as we head into the weekend.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Friday night through next Wednesday)
Issued at 1250 PM CST Thu Jan 29 2026
Cold conditions are expected Friday night through Sunday morning
across the region. For Saturday morning, low temperatures are
expected to bottom out in the mid teens to mid 20s. However, wind
gusts between 15-20 mph will exacerbate the cold, pushing wind
chills down to between 0 and 15 degrees. A Cold Weather Advisory
has been issued for Friday night-Saturday morning due to these
wind chills. If you have to be outdoors during this time, make
sure to properly bundle up and avoid excess time outside to avoid
getting hypothermia. Some areas near the Red River may briefly
observe wind chills a couple of degrees below zero near daybreak.
However, while this does meet Excessive Cold criteria, sub-zero
wind chills would only linger for an hour or two before rising
back above zero. Because of this, have not included any Excessive
Cold headlines at this time, but will continue to keep watch.
The rest of Saturday will remain cold with highs across much of
North Texas only peaking in the 29-32 degree range. Elsewhere,
temperatures will reach the mid-upper 30s. Saturday night into
Sunday will feature another night of very cold conditions, with
lows in the mid teens to low 20s and wind chills generally
between 10-20 degrees. Another Cold Weather Advisory may be
necessary for western portions of Central Texas during this time
for wind chills < 15 degrees, but this will be decided upon
overnight tonight or tomorrow.
A rapid warm up is expected Sunday into early next week as
southerly winds return and upper-level ridging begins to build
into the region. Highs on Monday will be quite nice, reaching all
the way into the 50s and 60s for the first time in a minute.
However, a series of shortwaves will break the ridge down and
allow for an unsettled weather pattern as we head into midweek.
Rain chances will increase Tuesday into Wednesday, but will come
to an end with the passage of another cold front.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1250 PM CST Thu Jan 29 2026
Southwesterly winds at all D10 airports will veer more westerly
and increase in speed to closer to 15-17 kts over the next hour or
two before an incoming cold front shifts winds out of the N-NW
around 19- 20Z. These breezy SW winds may cause crosswind impacts
on the diagonal runways at DFW and DAL until FROPA occurs. Similar
trends will occur at ACT, but delayed by an hour or so, with
FROPA expected at 21Z. VFR is expected to prevail the rest of
today, though some delayed post-frontal stratus is expected to
move into the region late this afternoon and evening.
Probabilities of direct impact to the terminals have continually
decreased over this morning, and most of the MVFR cigs should
remain east of the airports. Have kept a TEMPO for MVFR cigs at
DFW / DAL / GKY as they have slightly better chances of being
impacted by low clouds for a few hours starting around 01Z. Breezy
north-northwesterly winds will linger for much of this evening,
before finally decreasing to around 11kts or less closer to
midnight. VFR and north flow will persist through the rest of the
period.
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1049 AM CST Sun Jan 25 2026
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth 27 46 18 33 / 0 0 0 0
Waco 30 49 23 35 / 0 0 0 0
Paris 26 44 14 30 / 0 0 0 0
Denton 21 45 13 32 / 0 0 0 0
McKinney 25 44 15 31 / 0 0 0 0
Dallas 28 47 18 33 / 0 0 0 0
Terrell 27 46 16 33 / 0 0 0 0
Corsicana 30 49 21 35 / 0 0 0 0
Temple 30 52 22 38 / 0 0 0 0
Mineral Wells 23 50 17 35 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Cold Weather Advisory from midnight Friday night to 11 AM CST
Saturday for TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-
174-175.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Prater
LONG TERM....Prater
AVIATION...Prater
File: /home/ldm/var/data/BY_SOURCE/KFWD/FXUS64/20260129T1850.txt
885
FXUS64 KFWD 291151
AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
551 AM CST Thu Jan 29 2026
...New UPDATE, AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Hazardous travel impacts due to lingering ice and re-freezing on
roads will continue across North Texas this morning.
- Much colder temperatures and frigid wind chills are expected
Saturday into Sunday. Wind chills on Saturday will range from
-5 to 15 degrees.
&&
.UPDATE...
Issued at 520 AM CST Thu Jan 29 2026
Cloud cover has prevented a large portion of North and Central
Texas from reaching the freezing mark. This morning's update makes
minor adjustments to the hourly forecast over the next couple of
hours, following the ongoing temperature trend.
In addition to the temperature update, the potential for freezing
fog has diminished enough to remove from the official forecast.
With dew point depressions remaining in the 5-10 degree range, the
fog potential is now looking less likely. Nonetheless, black ice
continues to be a hazard across parts of the region that have
dipped below 32 degrees.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 104 AM CST Thu Jan 29 2026
Southerly winds are now in place across North and Central Texas in
response to an area of low pressure currently developing along the
Front Range. The southerly winds, in combination with the high
clouds invading from the west, will prevent temperatures from
plunging into the teens to lower 20s. Instead, by sunrise today,
temperatures will be in the mid 20s to lower 30s.
Prior to sunrise, we'll begin to see the advection of slightly
more humid air into the region. Given a relatively cool surface
after several days of cold temperatures, the development of fog is
expected once again this morning. With temperatures below 32
degrees across the region, freezing fog will once again be a
concern, mainly east of I-35.
Today will be the warmest day this week as temperatures rise into
the 50s to lower 60s. The exception will along the immediate Red
River Valley where another cold front will begin moving southward
this afternoon. As the front moves through, cooler temperatures
will begin to usher in this evening and tonight along with breezy
winds between 15-20 mph. Tonight's lows will quickly dip below the
freezing mark with much of the region in the 20s by Friday
morning.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Friday through Wednesday)
Issued at 104 AM CST Thu Jan 29 2026
After this afternoon's cold front, temperatures tomorrow will only
reach the lower 40s to lower 50s. Low clouds will likely be in
place during the morning hours with a gradual clearing of skies
the rest of the day.
A much stronger cold front is slated to move across the region
Friday night into Saturday morning. This cold front will usher in
another round of Arctic air, being funneled into the region by the
elongated area of high pressure in the Central Plains.
Temperatures Friday night will be in the teens in North Texas and
lower to mid 20s in Central Texas. Given the northerly wind in
place, wind chills along and north of I-20 Friday night into
Saturday will range from 5 degrees below zero to around 7
degrees. Central Texas will also be cold as wind chill values in
the single digits to lower teens can be expected.
Strong cold air advection on Saturday will keep high temperatures
below 32 degrees across North Texas. The coldest readings will
likely be along the Red River with upper 20s expected. With the
arctic airmass still in place Saturday night, temperatures Sunday
morning will be in the teens to lower 20s across the region. Light
winds will keep wind chills between 8 to 18 degrees.
As ridging moves east across the Plains, southerly winds will
return on Sunday, commencing a three day warming trend. Highs on
Sunday will be in the 40s/50s with 50s/60s by Monday and Tuesday.
A passing shortwave riding along the southern branch of the jet
stream will increase rain chances Tuesday afternoon into
Wednesday. Rain chances will come to an end as another cold front
moves in by the middle of next week.
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 520 AM CST Thu Jan 29 2026
VFR conditions are expected across North and Central Texas through
the rest of the morning and into the early part of the afternoon.
Southerly winds are in place, generally around 5-8 kts.
A cold front is continuing to move across the Central Plains,
arriving to the North Texas TAF sites between 19z-20z. A wind
shift to the northwest will likely lead to a transition to north
flow across D10. Following the wind shift, post-frontal MVFR
stratus will likely impact the region through the evening hours.
In addition to the MVFR skies, expect breezy northwesterly to
northerly winds near 20 kts.
Closer to 05z, expect sky conditions to return to VFR with winds
diminishing closer to 10 kts. Winds will remain out of the north
through the rest of this TAF cycle.
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1049 AM CST Sun Jan 25 2026
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth 52 27 45 20 / 0 0 0 0
Waco 56 30 47 23 / 0 0 0 0
Paris 49 26 43 14 / 0 0 0 0
Denton 50 22 44 14 / 0 0 0 0
McKinney 50 25 43 16 / 0 0 0 0
Dallas 53 29 46 19 / 0 0 0 0
Terrell 52 27 44 18 / 0 0 0 0
Corsicana 56 30 47 22 / 0 0 0 0
Temple 59 29 51 23 / 0 0 0 0
Mineral Wells 52 24 48 17 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Hernandez
LONG TERM....Hernandez
AVIATION...Hernandez
File: /home/ldm/var/data/BY_SOURCE/KFWD/FXUS64/20260129T1151.txt
437
FXUS64 KFWD 290718
AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
118 AM CST Thu Jan 29 2026
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Hazardous travel impacts due to lingering ice and re-freezing on
roads will continue across North Texas this morning.
- Another round of freezing fog is possible this morning, mainly
for areas near and east of Interstate 35.
- Much colder temperatures and frigid wind chills are expected
Saturday into Sunday. Wind chills on Saturday will range from
-5 to 15 degrees.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 104 AM CST Thu Jan 29 2026
Southerly winds are now in place across North and Central Texas in
response to an area of low pressure currently developing along the
Front Range. The southerly winds, in combination with the high
clouds invading from the west, will prevent temperatures from
plunging into the teens to lower 20s. Instead, by sunrise today,
temperatures will be in the mid 20s to lower 30s.
Prior to sunrise, we'll begin to see the advection of slightly
more humid air into the region. Given a relatively cool surface
after several days of cold temperatures, the development of fog is
expected once again this morning. With temperatures below 32
degrees across the region, freezing fog will once again be a
concern, mainly east of I-35.
Today will be the warmest day this week as temperatures rise into
the 50s to lower 60s. The exception will along the immediate Red
River Valley where another cold front will begin moving southward
this afternoon. As the front moves through, cooler temperatures
will begin to usher in this evening and tonight along with breezy
winds between 15-20 mph. Tonight's lows will quickly dip below the
freezing mark with much of the region in the 20s by Friday
morning.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Friday through Wednesday)
Issued at 104 AM CST Thu Jan 29 2026
After this afternoon's cold front, temperatures tomorrow will only
reach the lower 40s to lower 50s. Low clouds will likely be in
place during the morning hours with a gradual clearing of skies
the rest of the day.
A much stronger cold front is slated to move across the region
Friday night into Saturday morning. This cold front will usher in
another round of Arctic air, being funneled into the region by the
elongated area of high pressure in the Central Plains.
Temperatures Friday night will be in the teens in North Texas and
lower to mid 20s in Central Texas. Given the northerly wind in
place, wind chills along and north of I-20 Friday night into
Saturday will range from 5 degrees below zero to around 7
degrees. Central Texas will also be cold as wind chill values in
the single digits to lower teens can be expected.
Strong cold air advection on Saturday will keep high temperatures
below 32 degrees across North Texas. The coldest readings will
likely be along the Red River with upper 20s expected. With the
arctic airmass still in place Saturday night, temperatures Sunday
morning will be in the teens to lower 20s across the region. Light
winds will keep wind chills between 8 to 18 degrees.
As ridging moves east across the Plains, southerly winds will
return on Sunday, commencing a three day warming trend. Highs on
Sunday will be in the 40s/50s with 50s/60s by Monday and Tuesday.
A passing shortwave riding along the southern branch of the jet
stream will increase rain chances Tuesday afternoon into
Wednesday. Rain chances will come to an end as another cold front
moves in by the middle of next week.
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 104 AM CST Thu Jan 29 2026
High cloud are now moving in from the west as southerly winds
continue across the region. Increasing moisture will lead to the
potential for fog across all TAF sites, however, the bulk of the
fog is expected to remain just east of all TAF locations. Given
freezing temperatures are once again expected tonight, any fog
that does develop will quickly stick to any surface, increasing
the threat for icing.
By late this morning, VFR skies are expected with southwesterly
winds in place. A cold front will push across all TAF sites this
afternoon and evening, leading to north flow across the region.
Winds will increase to around 18 kts with a few gusts closer to 25
kts late this evening. The breezy northwesterly winds will persist
through the rest of the TAF period with winds finally decreasing
beyond 12z Friday.
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1049 AM CST Sun Jan 25 2026
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth 52 27 45 20 / 0 0 0 0
Waco 56 30 47 23 / 0 0 0 0
Paris 49 26 43 14 / 0 0 0 0
Denton 50 22 44 14 / 0 0 0 0
McKinney 50 25 43 16 / 0 0 0 0
Dallas 53 29 46 19 / 0 0 0 0
Terrell 52 27 44 18 / 0 0 0 0
Corsicana 56 30 47 22 / 0 0 0 0
Temple 59 29 51 23 / 0 0 0 0
Mineral Wells 52 24 48 17 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Hernandez
LONG TERM....Hernandez
AVIATION...Hernandez
File: /home/ldm/var/data/BY_SOURCE/KFWD/FXUS64/20260129T0718.txt
