693 
FXUS64 KFWD 261102
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
602 AM CDT Sun Oct 26 2025

...New UPDATE, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 516 AM CDT Sun Oct 26 2025

- Isolated showers remain possible along the Red River this 
  morning, particularly in the northeast.
 
- Areas of dense fog are possible this morning across most of
  North and Central Texas. A Dense Fog Advisory is in effect for
  areas along and east of the I-35 corridor through 10 AM. 

- Low rain chances return to areas along and east of I-35 on
  Tuesday along with a cold front that brings temperatures below
  normal.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 516 AM CDT Sun Oct 26 2025

As expected, patchy dense fog and widespread low cloud cover has 
spread across a large portion of North and Central Texas this 
morning. A Dense Fog Advisory has been issued through 10 AM for 
areas along and just east of the I-35 corridor where, though not 
widespread, areas of dense fog will require caution for morning 
travelers. Fog and low clouds should begin to clear around 
10 AM - 12 PM. Otherwise, no significant changes were made to the
forecast. Daytime temperatures should still reach the 70s today 
as skies quickly clear this afternoon. 

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 229 AM CDT Sun Oct 26 2025

The regional radar mosaic shows the convective axis shifting 
over the Lower Mississippi Valley as the upper trough continues 
to pivot across Oklahoma. The lingering showers and occasional 
rumbles of thunder wrapping around the southern flank of the upper
low should continue to ride along and just north of the Red River
through daybreak warranting continued low PoPs in adjacent areas 
of North Texas. 

Light winds and the residual shallow moisture from recent 
widespread precipitation should allow some patchy fog and a low 
stratus deck to form through sunrise. Widespread dense fog is not 
anticipated due to increasing low clouds which will inhibit 
radiational cooling and keep surface-based saturation spotty. 

Boundary-layer mixing after sunrise will disperse any fog or low 
stratus by mid to late morning. Highs will be in the 70s areawide 
this afternoon with light west to northwest winds prevailing. 
Monday trends a bit warmer as southerly breezes return ahead of 
the approaching front. Highs will climb into the mid to upper 80s 
west of the I-35 corridor while the rest of the region remains in 
the 70s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 229 AM CDT Sun Oct 26 2025

A shortwave trough digging southeast across the Plains will 
evolve into a closed low over Missouri on Tuesday, establishing a 
ridge (west)/trough (east) pattern. The accompanying surface low 
will drag a cold front through North and Central Texas on Tuesday 
ushering in some of the coolest temperatures of the season (so 
far) for mid to late week. 

Moisture return ahead of this system looks limited, so rain 
coverage with the front will be low (~20-30%) and focused mainly 
east and southeast of I-35. The more notable impact will be an 
increase in north to northwest winds Tuesday into Wednesday with 
frequent gusts to 25-30 mph, easing by late Wednesday as the low 
pulls away. Lows Wednesday night into Thursday morning will fall 
into the 40s for most, with some upper 30s possible across our far
western and northwestern counties. Highs Wednesday and Thursday 
will generally be in the low to mid 60s. 

By Friday, the pattern aloft will become less amplified with an
increasing potential for embedded shortwaves ejecting across the
Plains amid the weak northwest flow pattern aloft. At the 
surface, the post-frontal high may finally shift east, allowing a 
modest warming trend into next weekend. 

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 516 AM CDT Sun Oct 26 2025

VIS has dropped to 1/2-1/4 SM across parts of the Metroplex in 
addition to the very low stratus spreading through the region so
IFR/LIFR prevails across the TAF sites. The main window for low 
ceilings and reduced visibilities will be from 12-15Z with 
conditions improving to VFR by late morning as boundary layer 
mixing ensues. Calm or light and variable winds will transition to
the west/northwest later this morning with speeds remaining less 
than 10 kts through the rest of the TAF period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    75  58  78  61 /  10   0   0  10 
Waco                77  57  80  62 /  10  10   0   0 
Paris               72  56  72  57 /  30  10   0  10 
Denton              74  53  76  57 /  10   0   0  10 
McKinney            74  55  75  58 /  10   0   0  10 
Dallas              76  59  79  61 /  10   0   0  10 
Terrell             76  55  77  59 /  10   0   0  10 
Corsicana           77  59  79  62 /  10   0   0   0 
Temple              79  56  83  61 /   0   0   0   0 
Mineral Wells       77  55  82  57 /   0   0   0  10 

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Dense Fog Advisory until 10 AM CDT this morning for TXZ103-104-
118>120-133-134-145-146-158>161-174-175.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...12
LONG TERM....12
AVIATION...12


File: /home/ldm/var/data/BY_SOURCE/KFWD/FXUS64/20251026T1102.txt



798 
FXUS64 KFWD 260740
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
240 AM CDT Sun Oct 26 2025

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 229 AM CDT Sun Oct 26 2025

- Isolated showers remain possible along the Red River overnight 
  into Sunday morning. 

- Areas of dense fog are possible overnight into Sunday morning
  across most of North and Central Texas. 

- Low rain chances return to areas along and east of I-35 on
  Tuesday along with a cold front that brings temperatures below
  normal.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 229 AM CDT Sun Oct 26 2025

The regional radar mosaic shows the convective axis shifting 
over the Lower Mississippi Valley as the upper trough continues 
to pivot across Oklahoma. The lingering showers and occasional 
rumbles of thunder wrapping around the southern flank of the upper
low should continue to ride along and just north of the Red River
through daybreak warranting continued low PoPs in adjacent areas 
of North Texas. 

Light winds and the residual shallow moisture from recent 
widespread precipitation should allow some patchy fog and a low 
stratus deck to form through sunrise. Widespread dense fog is not 
anticipated due to increasing low clouds which will inhibit 
radiational cooling and keep surface-based saturation spotty. 

Boundary-layer mixing after sunrise will disperse any fog or low 
stratus by mid to late morning. Highs will be in the 70s areawide 
this afternoon with light west to northwest winds prevailing. 
Monday trends a bit warmer as southerly breezes return ahead of 
the approaching front. Highs will climb into the mid to upper 80s 
west of the I-35 corridor while the rest of the region remains in 
the 70s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 229 AM CDT Sun Oct 26 2025

A shortwave trough digging southeast across the Plains will 
evolve into a closed low over Missouri on Tuesday, establishing a 
ridge (west)/trough (east) pattern. The accompanying surface low 
will drag a cold front through North and Central Texas on Tuesday 
ushering in some of the coolest temperatures of the season (so 
far) for mid to late week. 

Moisture return ahead of this system looks limited, so rain 
coverage with the front will be low (~20-30%) and focused mainly 
east and southeast of I-35. The more notable impact will be an 
increase in north to northwest winds Tuesday into Wednesday with 
frequent gusts to 25-30 mph, easing by late Wednesday as the low 
pulls away. Lows Wednesday night into Thursday morning will fall 
into the 40s for most, with some upper 30s possible across our far
western and northwestern counties. Highs Wednesday and Thursday 
will generally be in the low to mid 60s. 

By Friday, the pattern aloft will become less amplified with an
increasing potential for embedded shortwaves ejecting across the
Plains amid the weak northwest flow pattern aloft. At the 
surface, the post-frontal high may finally shift east, allowing a 
modest warming trend into next weekend. 

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 229 AM CDT Sun Oct 26 2025

Areas of fog or very low stratus have developed across the region
with IFR/LIFR cigs and vis beginning to impact the TAF sites now.
The main window for low ceilings and reduced visibilities will be
from around 09-15Z with conditions improving to VFR by late 
morning as boundary layer mixing ensues. Calm or light and 
variable winds will transition to the west/northwest later this 
morning with speeds remaining less than 10 kts through the rest of
the TAF period. 

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    75  58  78  61 /  10   0   0  10 
Waco                77  57  80  62 /  10  10   0   0 
Paris               72  56  72  57 /  30  10   0  10 
Denton              74  53  76  57 /  10   0   0  10 
McKinney            74  55  75  58 /  10   0   0  10 
Dallas              76  59  79  61 /  10   0   0  10 
Terrell             76  55  77  59 /  10   0   0  10 
Corsicana           77  59  79  62 /  10   0   0   0 
Temple              79  56  83  61 /   0   0   0   0 
Mineral Wells       77  55  82  57 /   0   0   0  10 

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...12
LONG TERM....12
AVIATION...12


File: /home/ldm/var/data/BY_SOURCE/KFWD/FXUS64/20251026T0740.txt