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FLUS44 KTSA 030959
HWOTSA
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
459 AM CDT Thu Apr 3 2025
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-041000-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
459 AM CDT Thu Apr 3 2025
...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING THREAT INTENSIFIES THROUGH SATURDAY...
This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
TORNADO.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Far Southeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...This Morning.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Southeast Oklahoma and West Central Arkansas.
ONSET...This Morning.
HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Southeast Oklahoma and West Central Arkansas.
ONSET...Later This Morning.
DISCUSSION...
Another round of showers and thunderstorms will move across the
region today. Severe potential will exist with storms mainly
across southeast Oklahoma into west central Arkansas south of a
frontal boundary draped across the area. Increasing moisture will
also lead to locally heavy rainfall as storms move over the same
areas from this morning through the afternoon, before moving off
to the east by mid afternoon.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Likely.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
FRIDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
SUNDAY...High Wind Potential.
MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...No Hazards.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
The weather pattern remains favorable for multiple rounds of
heavy rain and thunderstorms Saturday especially from southeast
Oklahoma through northwest Arkansas. Expect both flash flooding
and main stem river flooding concerns to increase both Friday and
Saturday. Severe weather potential will also exist Thursday and
Friday, focused across areas south and east of Interstate 44.
Large hail and damaging winds will be the main concerns, although
a limited threat for tornadoes may also exist.
Rain chances will gradually end during the daytime Sunday, with
breezy northerly winds persisting through the afternoon.
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
Severe weather and flooding impacts are likely to impact
parts of eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas now through the
weekend. Multiple periods of response may be required.
weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.
$$
File: /home/ldm/var/data/BY_SOURCE/KTSA/FLUS44/20250403T0959.txt
415
FLUS44 KTSA 022215
HWOTSA
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
515 PM CDT Wed Apr 2 2025
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-031030-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
515 PM CDT Wed Apr 2 2025
...LIMITED SEVERE THREAT AFTER MIDNIGHT SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40...
This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.
.DAY ONE...Tonight.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...South of Interstate 40.
ONSET...After Midnight.
DISCUSSION...
Another round of thunderstorms is expected to develop near and
just north of a stalled frontal boundary toward daybreak Thursday,
most likely across areas south of Interstate 40. These storms will
largely pose a large hail threat, although depending on how far
north the boundary stalls, there may also be an excessive
rainfall, damaging wind, and limited tornado threat.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.
THURSDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential.
FRIDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential
...Heavy Rain Potential.
SUNDAY...High Wind Potential.
MONDAY AND TUESDAY...No Hazards.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
The weather pattern remains favorable for multiple rounds of
heavy rain and thunderstorms Thursday through Saturday especially
from southeast Oklahoma through northwest Arkansas. Expect both
flash flooding and main stem river flooding concerns to increase
both Friday and Saturday. Severe weather potential will also exist
Thursday and Friday, focused across areas south and east of
Interstate 44. Large hail and damaging winds will be the main
concerns, although a limited threat for tornadoes may also exist.
Rain chances will gradually end during the daytime Sunday, with
breezy northerly winds persisting through the afternoon.
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
Severe weather and flooding impacts are likely to impact
parts of eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas now through the
weekend. Multiple periods of response may be required.
weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.
$$
File: /home/ldm/var/data/BY_SOURCE/KTSA/FLUS44/20250402T2215.txt
576
FLUS44 KTSA 021927
HWOTSA
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
227 PM CDT Wed Apr 2 2025
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-031015-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
227 PM CDT Wed Apr 2 2025
This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.
.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.
TORNADO.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...East of Interstate 49 in Western Arkansas and Far Southeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...Ongoing in Western Arkansas...After Midnight Southeast Oklahoma.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...East of Interstate 49 in Western Arkansas and South of Interstate 40.
ONSET...Ongoing in Western Arkansas...After Midnight South of Interstate 40.
SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Western Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing.
DISCUSSION...
Thunderstorms continue this afternoon east of Interstate 49 in
western Arkansas, with a continued severe weather threat. Large
hail and damaging winds will be the main concerns, although a
limited potential for tornadoes will also exist. These storms
should shift east of the area by late afternoon.
Another round of thunderstorms is expected to develop near and
just north of a stalled frontal boundary toward daybreak Thursday,
most likely across areas south of Interstate 40. These storms will
largely pose a large hail threat, although depending on how far
north the boundary stalls, there may also be a damaging wind and
limited tornado threat.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Likely.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...Severe Thunderstorm and Heavy Rain Potential.
SATURDAY...Thunderstorm...High Wind...and Heavy Rain Potential.
SUNDAY...High Wind Potential.
MONDAY AND TUESDAY...No Hazards.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
The weather pattern remains favorable for multiple rounds of
heavy rain Thursday through Saturday especially from southeast
Oklahoma through northwest Arkansas. Expect both flash flooding
and main stem river flooding concerns to increase both Friday
and Saturday. Severe weather potential will also exist Thursday
and Friday, focused across areas south and east of Interstate 44.
Large hail and damaging winds will be the main concerns, although
a limited threat for tornadoes may also exist.
Rain chances will gradually end during the daytime Sunday, with
breezy northerly winds persisting through the afternoon.
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
Severe weather and flooding impacts are likely to impact
parts of eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas now through the
weekend. Multiple periods of response may be required.
weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.
$$
File: /home/ldm/var/data/BY_SOURCE/KTSA/FLUS44/20250402T1927.txt