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FLUS44 KTSA 152213
HWOTSA
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
513 PM CDT Sun Mar 15 2026
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-162215-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
513 PM CDT Sun Mar 15 2026
This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.
.DAY ONE...This Evening and Tonight.
WINTER WEATHER.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Far Northeast Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing.
SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing.
FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing.
DISCUSSION...
Strong northwest winds with frequent gusts of 35 to 55 mph will
persist into this evening. This will create near-critical to
critical fire spread rates, especially along and west of Highway
75, through this evening. Any fire that starts today could spread
aggressively and the winds could create dangerous fire
suppression efforts. The winds will slowly diminishing late
tonight into early Monday morning.
Additionally, flurries and light snow showers will be possible
through early evening as wrap around moisture moves through the
area. Little, if any, accumulation is expected, although isolated
accumulation up to a couple tenths will be possible across far
northeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas. Regardless, no winter
impacts are expected as precipitation will remain light and
temperatures will be marginal.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.
MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...High Wind Potential.
THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...No Hazards.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Gusty northerly winds will continue though the daytime Monday,
though not as gusty as Sunday. The weather pattern quickly
adjusts and gusty southerly winds develop by Tuesday. Both Monday
and Tuesday will have higher grassland fire spread conditions due
to the stronger winds. Dry weather and unseasonably warm
temperatures return by late week into next weekend.
weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.
$$
File: /home/ldm/var/data/BY_SOURCE/KTSA/FLUS44/20260315T2213.txt
928
FLUS44 KTSA 151753
HWOTSA
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1253 PM CDT Sun Mar 15 2026
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-161800-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
1253 PM CDT Sun Mar 15 2026
This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.
.DAY ONE...Rest of Today and Tonight.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Far Southeast Oklahoma into Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing.
SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Area Wide.
ONSET...Ongoing.
FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Area Wide.
ONSET...Ongoing.
DISCUSSION...
Strong northwest winds with frequent gusts of 30 to 50 mph will persist
through this afternoon and into this evening. Isolated to
scattered thunderstorms will occur along the front across
northwest Arkansas before quickly moving further east and out of
the forecast area. An isolated strong to severe storm will exist
through the early afternoon hours. Otherwise, wind gusts will
aid high grassland fire spread rates. Any fire that start today
could spread aggressively and the winds could create dangerous
fire suppression efforts. The winds will slowly diminishing late
tonight into early Monday morning.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.
MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...High Wind Potential.
THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...No Hazards.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Gusty northerly winds will continue though the daytime Monday,
though not as gusty as Sunday. The weather pattern quickly
adjusts and gusty southerly winds develop by Tuesday. Both Monday
and Tuesday will have higher grassland fire spread conditions due
to the stronger winds. Dry weather and unseasonably warm
temperatures return by late week into next weekend.
weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.
$$
File: /home/ldm/var/data/BY_SOURCE/KTSA/FLUS44/20260315T1753.txt
423
FLUS44 KTSA 151045
HWOTSA
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
545 AM CDT Sun Mar 15 2026
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-161045-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
545 AM CDT Sun Mar 15 2026
This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Early afternoon.
SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing.
FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing.
DISCUSSION...
Strong winds with frequent gusts of 30 to 50 mph will persist
for much of today and tonight. Initially strong southerly winds
will become northerly as a cold front sweeps rapidly eastward
across the region today. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms may
develop along the front across northwest Arkansas before quickly
moving further east. A brief window for an isolated strong to
severe storm will exist during the early afternoon hours.
Otherwise, wind gusts will intensify this afternoon as cold
air overspreads the region and these winds will aid high
grassland fire spread rates. Any fire starts today could
spread aggressively and the winds could create dangerous
fire suppression efforts. The winds will remain strong through
Sunday evening with gusts slowly diminishing late Sunday night.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.
MONDAY and TUESDAY...High Fire Weather and High Wind Potential.
WEDNESDAY...High Wind Potential.
THURSDAY through SATURDAY...No Hazards.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Gusty northerly winds will continue into the day Monday.
The weather pattern quickly adjusts and gusty southerly
winds develop by Tuesday. Both Monday and Tuesday will
have higher grassland fire spread conditions due to the
stronger winds. Dry weather and unseasonably warm temperatures
return by late week into next weekend.
weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.
$$
File: /home/ldm/var/data/BY_SOURCE/KTSA/FLUS44/20260315T1045.txt
